WORTH WATCHING:
Start From the Exit and Work Back
The Advantage · Mike Wystrach × Deborah Benton · 53 min
Deborah and I had never met before this conversation. We have a lot of the same background. We both ran consumer companies and then moved to the investing side, and she got there first.
At ShoeDazzle she raised from Lightspeed, Polaris and Andreessen. At Nasty Gal it was Index, at what she called "a ridiculous multiple of revenue." The investors priced both companies like tech because they sold online. Deborah sees online as a channel, and the economics of a shoe or a dress do not change because the order came through a website.
WHAT I LOVED ABOUT IT:
She told the Nasty Gal story straight. The company got an offer from a retailer at a price she thought was amazing. It was flat to what they had raised two years earlier. The investors who came in at the high number would have had to tell their own investors that the money sat flat for two years. Those funds, she said, are built to swing for the fences.
Her advice to her younger self is to look at how consumer brands actually exit and plan the raise backward from there. Past a billion, she said, "the air gets very thin." A $300 million acquisition is "beautiful if it's been capitalized correctly."
At Willow she walks founders through that plan before the check. Her rounds are usually $3 million to $5 million, into brands doing $2 million to $5 million over the trailing 12 months. She wants one more round after hers, somewhere between $8 million and $20 million, and then she wants every investor to do well at a $300 million sale. "It doesn't mean we have to exit, but it buys us optionality."
I learned this one with Petfolk. I was a second-time founder, and money came easier, so valuations came easier. Looking back, we could have raised about $20 million less and done fewer dumb things with it. I treat a raise as an obligation now. You do not walk out of a bank celebrating a loan, and a round works the same way.
THE LINE THAT STUCK
"If you're successful, it's going to get fixed. It's your choice when it gets fixed and it's better the earlier you do it."
Deborah Benton
She was talking about the round priced too high. It comes back later as a down round, a flat round, unhappy early investors or a founder who owns too little of the company.
MY 20-SECOND RECAP
if you do not have the full 53 minutes
→Plan for a buyer. Deborah thinks these companies should get acquired rather than go public. She wants a cap table where a $300 million sale makes every investor happy.
→Map the rounds you still need. Her ideal is her round plus one more of $8 million to $20 million, maybe with a little secondary.
→Find out who can block a sale. The last investor in often has a blocking right. A sale can be great for 90% of the cap table, she said, and still stall on the last check in.
→Be careful with the party round. Angels and family offices can be great strategic investors, she said, but pricing the next round is not their job.
PRO MOVE
Before your next term sheet, list the acquisitions in your category that have reported prices. Check whether every investor on your cap table makes money at the middle of that list.